Experts warn that military conflict with Iran could boost nationalism rather than trigger a change in government.
Military action against Iran might fail to achieve American goals. Some experts suggest that war could actually harm these efforts. It often produces results that are the opposite of what planners expect.
Meanwhile, analyst Negar Mortazavi spoke at the Global Security Forum. She shared her views on the current situation. She believes that attacking Iran will likely backfire on Washington.
Instead of causing a change in government, war might help the current leaders. It tends to stir up strong feelings of national pride. People often rally together when they face an outside threat.
Also, citizens may set aside their complaints about the government. The fear of external danger creates a sense of unity. This effect often strengthens the support for the existing state.
However, many Iranians have deep grievances with their leaders. These domestic issues are very real and significant. War does not solve these underlying problems within the country.
Next, the focus shifts to how nations react to aggression. History shows that foreign attacks rarely lead to democratic change. Such actions often force the population to defend their homeland.
As a result, the Iranian people might feel forced to choose their country over reform. They may prioritize national survival above internal politics. This dynamic creates a difficult challenge for outside powers.
Finally, experts warn that military paths are rarely simple. The outcome of a conflict is often unpredictable. Policymakers should consider these risks before taking any major action.