Brazil's presidential run-off between Lula and Bolsonaro could be decided by millions of citizens who skipped the first round of voting.
Brazil prepares for a tense presidential run-off between incumbent Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro. Recent data shows a record number of citizens choosing not to vote. Over 33 million people skipped the first round of the election earlier this month.
Many voters express deep exhaustion with the country's polarized political climate. Some citizens feel that neither candidate represents their personal values. Larissa Campelo, a mother from Sao Paulo, plans to abstain as a form of protest.
However, experts suggest this large group of non-voters could determine the final outcome. The race remains extremely close following the first round of voting. Recent polls show the two candidates in a statistical deadlock heading into Sunday.
Meanwhile, analysts note that people abstain for many different reasons. Some face practical hurdles like long travel distances to polling stations. Others simply lack the time due to work or family responsibilities.
Also, the law exempts millions of Brazilians from mandatory voting requirements. Younger citizens, the elderly, and those who cannot read or write have the choice to skip the polls. The financial penalty for missing a vote is very small.
Next, both campaigns are working hard to win over these undecided individuals. Bolsonaro promises new tax breaks to improve the national economy. He also addresses his father’s legal issues during his campaign events.
In contrast, Lula focuses on social policies to boost his support. He proposes debt relief for small business owners and free weekend public transport. His team hopes these practical measures will attract previously uninterested citizens.
Finally, experts warn that historical trends might not predict the future. No candidate has ever trailed in the first round and won the second round in Brazil. Yet, this year remains unpredictable due to the high number of potential voters.
Ultimately, the final result may depend on turnout in key regions. Both candidates have strong bases in different parts of the country. Small changes in participation rates will likely decide the next president.